Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 17.718233 20.147869 22.796549 25.899693 29.437504 33.347450 37.999646
2024-11-03 14.734805 18.005986 21.840212 26.671301 32.604369 39.664060 48.719275
2024-11-10 12.644549 16.489211 21.300861 27.777454 36.288838 47.123312 62.012186
2024-11-17 10.647751 14.753079 20.215310 28.037395 38.993216 53.855694 75.658070
2024-11-24 8.685772 12.738242 18.448979 27.118254 40.013781 58.594532 87.597368
2024-12-01 7.132871 11.037260 16.846368 26.166765 40.847392 63.251616 100.363580
2024-12-08 6.070839 9.886100 15.864181 25.977025 42.804270 69.943087 117.549871
2024-12-15 5.293475 9.050021 15.234060 26.238836 45.539819 78.366582 139.225661
2024-12-22 4.596005 8.228132 14.493942 26.194451 47.771398 86.379539 161.853690
2024-12-29 4.160777 7.787038 14.331645 27.135563 51.923824 98.519547 194.437785
2025-01-05 3.687869 7.197346 13.807321 27.322865 54.725565 108.710443 225.457644
2025-01-12 3.184556 6.464887 12.896543 26.607114 55.646325 115.456774 251.009995
2025-01-19 2.787821 5.889856 12.224686 26.312958 57.508987 124.743704 284.608785
2025-01-26 2.547479 5.597488 12.080865 27.114971 61.902285 140.324948 335.895084
2025-02-02 2.361456 5.390400 12.085033 28.254806 67.312688 159.324531 399.775250
2025-02-09 2.133362 5.049269 11.737432 28.531262 70.795091 174.640104 458.469584
2025-02-16 1.858726 4.551489 10.946973 27.604730 71.182012 182.604947 500.391064
2025-02-23 1.621743 4.103205 10.197931 26.642829 71.303748 189.984779 542.743592
2025-03-02 1.457905 3.809251 9.778346 26.455166 73.452240 203.198426 604.979631
2025-03-09 1.336007 3.602435 9.545255 26.726452 76.938693 220.871693 684.996750
2025-03-16 1.214613 3.375556 9.220674 26.684832 79.544994 236.667767 763.561157
2025-03-23 1.145765 3.281800 9.241977 27.647014 85.349933 263.240002 883.785990
2025-03-30 1.055523 3.111050 9.018220 27.840340 88.860471 283.634266 989.185067